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How To Avoid Relegation: Part 1

How To Avoid Relegation: Part 1

Things are serious and here is the position in numbers.

Over the last five seasons an average of 51 points would have avoided the drop to Division 1. In terms of results, these are the ways of getting that magic 51 points in a season:

Play Win Draw Lose Pts

46 17 0 29 51
46 16 3 27 51
46 15 6 25 51
46 14 9 21 51
46 13 12 19 51
46 12 15 17 51
46 11 18 15 51
46 10 21 13 51
46 9 24 11 51
46 8 27 9 51
46 7 30 7 51
46 6 33 5 51

So far this is how we`ve done:

12 1 3 8 6

So we need at least another 45 points from 34 and these are the options left:

Play Win Draw Lose Pts
34 15 0 19 45
34 14 3 17 45
34 13 6 15 45
34 12 9 13 45
34 11 12 11 45
34 10 15 9 45
34 9 18 7 45
34 8 21 5 45
34 7 24 3 45
34 6 27 2 45

The stats show we might just about scrape home with last season`s "win 1 draw 1 lose 1" policy. We could even survive if we lost all our away games but only if we can re-build Fortress Nottingham. Some hopes.

Tough times ahead but the secret is to avoid defeats and hang on for draws at least.

Thanks to Cholo for working it all out. It looks a dauting prospect, even on paper. Can we do it? Have your say on the forum today.



Click here to join in the debate on the club forum.

Writer:guinless
Date:Wednesday October 22 2008
Time: 12:30PM

Comments

0
The best way to avoid it us to sack the clown!
Impster
22/10/2008 15:01:00
0
They have to realise that thing at the end of each pitch is a net!
herringthorpe
23/10/2008 11:09:00
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2 Brighton 32 20 8 4 68 28
3 Huddersfield 32 20 4 8 64 8
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5 Leeds Utd 33 18 4 11 58 11
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19 Burton 34 9 9 16 36 -13
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22 Wigan 33 7 9 17 30 -10
23 Blackburn 32 7 9 16 30 -13
24 Rotherham 33 4 5 24 17 -43
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