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The Punters Thread.
12 February 2011 23:10 Post ID: #280639 - in reply to #217876
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Another pre-season bet up this week "Billy to win a MOM"

At the moment things are looking ok. I am still in a position where I could either loose or win big.

On a negative I have had a big loose on a pre-season bet today (even though I knew it was going to happen for the last few weeks). Blackpool to get less than 29 points!!

Come on Forest

Edited by Curly 12/2/2011 23:13
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13 February 2011 01:09 Post ID: #280647 - in reply to #217876
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Curly,
Given our run of fixtures after Sc**thorpe,will you be tempted to lay off on the championship winner market.
My bet was at 14 BF but a few of the boys on betfair traded out lately as they had odds of between 40-65.
Interested to know your take on it as we could achieve 4 in the next few days.
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13 February 2011 20:50 Post ID: #281036 - in reply to #217876
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Syston Red

I do not use betfair so I am not sure about laying off bets!
At the moment I have some fairly big money on
Win league 10/1
Promotion 7/2
Top 6 spread between 6/4 to 4/5
above norwich, reading and watford 2/1
and various bets to be above sheep, leic and cov

any advice much appreciated
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14 February 2011 17:48 Post ID: #281235 - in reply to #217876
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If you have staked a good amount Curly, has to be worth setting a lowest price you think we will achieve and then lay it on BF.
For me wether it is a £5 or £50 bet it has the same plan in that i would rather trade out before the end and have stake back in the account before the bet has a risk element.

5.9 (5/1) on BF at the moment and if we beat Scunny and Cardiff i expect to see a price of around 4.0 (3/1).
Took 14 in August and would be happy to lay @4 for a 10 point profit before we play a run of tough fixtures.
If your stakes on the winners market are large then it makes sense to open a BF account just to lay your stake money,after all these days some of us do ante-post when we would never have touched them before BF came along as they were so much of a gamble.

Some are loathe to lay off as they want the whole ammount but the betfair forums are filled at the weekend with punters screaming about bad luck due to a late equaliser, despite the fact they refuse to lay off as they claim they would lose 4-5% of their winnings.

Do whatever feels right for you,but suggest you remeber Orbitals acca on this thread,That is how to manage a winning position
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14 February 2011 17:48 Post ID: #281236 - in reply to #217876
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If you have staked a good amount Curly, has to be worth setting a lowest price you think we will achieve and then lay it on BF.
For me wether it is a £5 or £50 bet it has the same plan in that i would rather trade out before the end and have stake back in the account before the bet has a risk element.

5.9 (5/1) on BF at the moment and if we beat Scunny and Cardiff i expect to see a price of around 4.0 (3/1).
Took 14 in August and would be happy to lay @4 for a 10 point profit before we play a run of tough fixtures.
If your stakes on the winners market are large then it makes sense to open a BF account just to lay your stake money,after all these days some of us do ante-post when we would never have touched them before BF came along as they were so much of a gamble.

Some are loathe to lay off as they want the whole ammount but the betfair forums are filled at the weekend with punters screaming about bad luck due to a late equaliser, despite the fact they refuse to lay off as they claim they would lose 4-5% of their winnings.

Do whatever feels right for you,but suggest you remeber Orbitals acca on this thread,That is how to manage a winning position
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03 April 2011 20:04 Post ID: #293657 - in reply to #217876
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SYSTON , my best mate won £1286 yesterday with four selections singles,doubles,trebles and an e/w acca . he had 3 winners Frontline Phantom 11/1 , Jawking 12/1 & Battleoftrafalgar 40/1 and Brae Hill 22/1 second . i was watching the last race (Frontline Phantom) with him & his dad and we went mental when it hosed up . he'd have won a bloody fortune if his one in second had managed to win ! i went with him this morning to pick his money up and he stuck £20 in the roulette machine and won £160 ! he must have trod in something .
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03 April 2011 20:41 Post ID: #293672 - in reply to #217876
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Hey orb, how are you.
What a cracking afternoon for him,God knows how he found em but great to see a story like that.
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04 April 2011 18:17 Post ID: #293841 - in reply to #293672
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SYSTON RED - 3/4/2011 20:41

Hey orb, how are you.
What a cracking afternoon for him,God knows how he found em but great to see a story like that.

i'm fine thanks syston and yourself? yeah my mate tends to follow certain trainers or jockeys so sometimes gets big priced winners that i'd have never considered but he just managed to get them all on one slip this time , if only the 22/1 second placed one could have won! pleased for him as he's been having a dabble for over 25 years now and that's his best return yet plus he's a great bloke,a real comedian , he laid out about £15 i think on the bet . he spent all saturday evening trying to work out what he'd won as he'd put it on in the shop whereas online it normally tells you what the return will be.
glad the flat season is under way as i prefer the flat although i won't go mad with my stakes .i've been winning dribs & drabs but pretty much only covering my stakes just lately , better than losing i suppose , hope you've been lucky !
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09 April 2011 02:08 Post ID: #294600 - in reply to #217876
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Orb,

What about BACKSTAGE in the national,seems the type to give a good run for your money,
Only an opinion based on a race in Ireland last year,been readied properly and gives me the same feeling as Numbersixvalverde.
Paul Carberry a bonus in the saddle too.
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09 April 2011 22:14 Post ID: #294922 - in reply to #294600
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SYSTON RED - 9/4/2011 02:08

Orb,

What about BACKSTAGE in the national,seems the type to give a good run for your money,
Only an opinion based on a race in Ireland last year,been readied properly and gives me the same feeling as Numbersixvalverde.
Paul Carberry a bonus in the saddle too.


didn't have a bet in the end syston .
this looked unlikley 6 weeks ago but looks nailed on now......unfortunately .

16/10/2010 GBP 50.00 Single: UNDER 69.5 POINTS @ 10/11 [Ou... Returns: £ 0.00
Bet ID: ********** Time: 00:13 Bet Type: Single Stake: £50.00
Event Selection Price E/W Terms Status
Total Championship Points This Season
Nottingham Forest Specials
Outright - Specials Under 69.5 points 10/11 Win only Unsettled


Edited by orbitalforest 9/4/2011 22:16
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24 April 2011 13:05 Post ID: #298476 - in reply to #217876
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Well orb,
Hate to see a losing bet but think there are nine points there for us if Billy goes all in for it.
No point in holding back and we have proved before on some of our runs that this is a position within our control.
Reds are 11/8 on BFair and i am on as the only other bet of interest at the moment is Shalke in the CL.

Barca,5/4,
Man U,11/4,
Real,7/2,
Shalke,14.5/1.

In my opinion, Shalke are good enough to beat Utd and if that were the case they would then be a short enough price to LAY and achieve a large profit either way before the final kicks off.
Anyway that is the plan and time will tell.
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27 May 2011 21:04 Post ID: #307827 - in reply to #217876
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Syston where are you ? come on the flat season is well under way i need your help ! i fancy that French horse for the Derby ...Pour Moi @ 9/2 . i may have a nice e/w bet .
i also think Paul Lambert to still be in charge at Norwich at the end of next season @ 8/11 (William Hill)is a cracking bet , if they have a dodgy spell or are even in the bottom 3 all season i can't see them doing the dirty on him after what he's done for them ,perhaps he'd get job offers but i can imagine him staying loyal for the season , i may well have a decent bet on that.
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30 May 2011 15:12 Post ID: #308659 - in reply to #217876
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Hey orbs,

Not much time recently but saw your post and thought i would ask your opinion of Oaks runner WONDER OF WONDERS.
Aiden OBrien seems very,very bullish and as i fancied it anyway then it looks a possible bet imo.

Got a day off today but raining buckets everywhere so a no-bet day.
Had a good bet on Barca at the remarkable odds they were Saturday,( odds of 1/2 last time v Utd and they are much improved whereas Utd have gone the opposite way).
Wish Barca could play a prem team every week if prices like that are available.
Will keep looking in over the summer to see if you have anything and of course i will pass on owt of interest, Good luck.
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30 May 2011 18:32 Post ID: #308751 - in reply to #308659
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hi syston , if o'brien is bullish then you have to think it's going to be in the frame at least ,well worth a dabble i reckon .
remember i told you about my mate a couple of months back having a touch ? well he's done it again today ...he had 2 winners 8/1 (Another Try ) a dead heat so half the odds. then a 40/1 (Sir Glanton), he then had a 11/1 (Ivory Lace) come second beaten a head and just had his last one win at 25/1 (Gracies Games).
he's had singles,doubles ,trebles & ew acca and laid out £6.50 . it's got to be a couple of grand i'd have thought ? i always bet online so know what my potential winnings will be but he likes to bet in shop so won't find out until tomorrow .
maybe i should just start copying him?
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30 May 2011 21:01 Post ID: #308806 - in reply to #217876
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You and me both mate.
Great stuff.
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30 May 2011 22:07 Post ID: #308814 - in reply to #308806
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SYSTON RED - 30/5/2011 21:01

You and me both mate.
Great stuff.


we worked it out to be £1050 ish . so not as much as i thought but still better than a kick in the knackers and a great return for £6.50.
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04 June 2011 21:02 Post ID: #309981 - in reply to #307827
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orbitalforest - 27/5/2011 21:04

Syston where are you ? come on the flat season is well under way i need your help ! i fancy that French horse for the Derby ...Pour Moi @ 9/2 . i may have a nice e/w bet .
i also think Paul Lambert to still be in charge at Norwich at the end of next season @ 8/11 (William Hill)is a cracking bet , if they have a dodgy spell or are even in the bottom 3 all season i can't see them doing the dirty on him after what he's done for them ,perhaps he'd get job offers but i can imagine him staying loyal for the season , i may well have a decent bet on that.


well i got the winner of the derby and managed to get 13/2 which was a cracking price considering it's sp was 4/1 . unfortunately i only had £2.50 e/w and wish i'd had the bigger bet i intended to have ! you just know if i'd lumped on it would have got done on the line though ! nevermind still picked up £26.67 and the first time i have picked the derby winner as well .
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